But in practice, do you not think that most golfers have some particular yardage that they struggle from, from a confidence perspective?
So… even though we can all name some exceptions, oftentimes even if you think YOU are an exception, you're really not if you actually track your rounds and shots and so on. People seemingly forget the bad shots they hit from 100 yards and remember the bad ones they hit from 70 (because they think they're uncomfortable from that range), or whatever. But most people still hold closer to the "closer = closer" rule than even they think.
Anyway… I tried to find amateurs in one of the databases who have a lot of shots from 100 to 50 yards in the fairway (because you don't want to count a player who has a bunch of shots from 95-100, then a gap from 95-75 with only like three shots total — you want a large enough sample size), and was able to find fourteen golfers pretty quickly ranging from a +1 to a 13. My criteria was basically no gaps of more than 3 yards without 3+ shots from any of the in-between yardages (i.e. 10 shots from 78, 1 from 79, 1 from 80, 2 from 81, 1 from 82, then 10 from 83… would fail). Many had 5-10+ shots from 44+ of the 51 yardages.
All but one exhibited a pretty smooth line for the proximity. One player didn't… he had a jump in his proximity around 65 yards. When I looked at his data and almost all of his shots were on a hole with water short and left, so he often hit it long/right. It was about a 310-yard hole, so he laid up near the end of the fairway and so I think (he's a low handicapper, though not the +1) he was intentionally playing away from the hole.
It's only 14 golfers, so I'm not saying it doesn't exist (and never would, as exceptions exist in almost anything)… but, generally, no.
What Tom said is true, of course, that players feel better about "157" if that's a great yardage for them, than "160." But those gaps don't matter quite as much to amateurs… or perhaps they still do, but if 95 is a great yardage for them, a 90-yard shot might play 95 if it's into a little wind or slightly uphill or something. So as a one-off, you'll hear from Tour players that the calculated yardage wasn't a great fit for them… but we don't know that about amateurs when they're playing.
Edit: minimal smoothing to the lines, because for example a yardage where the player hit one bad shot out of three can cause a "bump" in that yardage, but if the yardage one yard short and one yard long of it doesn't have that one truly bad shot… it's still a pretty smooth progression. But, yes, there was some smoothing. Otherwise, you'd have little jumps all over the place until the player hit many, many, many shots from literally every yardage.